Thursday's game at PNC Park has the Pittsburgh Pirates (68-78) squaring off against the Washington Nationals (65-81) at 12:35 PM ET (on September 14). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Pirates, so it should be a tight matchup.

The Pirates will give the ball to Mitch Keller (11-9, 4.23 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 12 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Josiah Gray (7-11, 4.13 ERA).

Pirates vs. Nationals Game Info & Odds

  • When: Thursday, September 14, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Pirates vs. Nationals Score Prediction

Our pick for this game is Pirates 5, Nationals 4.

Total Prediction for Pirates vs. Nationals

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Read More About This Game

Pirates Performance Insights

  • In three games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 2-1.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its last 10 games with a total.
  • In their last game with a spread, the Pirates failed to cover.
  • This season, the Pirates have won 18 out of the 27 games, or 66.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 4-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%.
  • Pittsburgh ranks 23rd in the majors with 615 total runs scored this season.
  • The Pirates have the 20th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.50).

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Pirates Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 9 @ Braves W 8-4 Johan Oviedo vs Dylan Dodd
September 10 @ Braves L 5-2 Luis Ortiz vs Allan Winans
September 11 Nationals L 6-2 Andre Jackson vs Patrick Corbin
September 12 Nationals W 5-1 Bailey Falter vs Joan Adon
September 13 Nationals W 7-6 Colin Selby vs Jackson Rutledge
September 14 Nationals - Mitch Keller vs Josiah Gray
September 15 Yankees - Johan Oviedo vs Gerrit Cole
September 16 Yankees - Luis Ortiz vs Clarke Schmidt
September 17 Yankees - Bailey Falter vs Carlos Rodón
September 19 @ Cubs - TBA vs Javier Assad
September 20 @ Cubs - Mitch Keller vs Jameson Taillon