Study: Temperatures go off the charts around 2047 - WVVA TV Bluefield Beckley WV News, Weather and Sports

Study: Temperatures go off the charts around 2047

Posted:
  • More Local NewsMore Local NewsMore>>

  • Deputies in McDowell County bust indoor marijuana grow

    Deputies in McDowell County bust indoor marijuana grow

    RAYSAL HOLLOW (WVVA) An anonymous tip leads deputies in McDowell County to an indoor marijuana grow...More >>
    RAYSAL HOLLOW (WVVA) An anonymous tip leads deputies in McDowell County to an indoor marijuana grow...More >>
  • A vehicle goes off the road and into a creek early Wednesday morning

    A vehicle goes off the road and into a creek early Wednesday morning

    TAZEWELL (WVVA) – At least two people are injured when their vehicle goes off the road and into a creek early Wednesday morning.  More >>
    TAZEWELL (WVVA) – At least two people are injured when their vehicle goes off the road and into a creek early Wednesday morning.  More >>
  • Fayette County schools will participate in free meals program

    Fayette County schools will participate in free meals program

    Fayetteville, WV. - Students in Fayette County Schools will have the opportunity to eat breakfast and lunch at school at no cost. The county is participating in a program called the Community Eligibility Provision (CEP). The Community Eligibility Provision (CEP), enacted as a result of the Healthy, Hunger-Free Kids Act, is an innovative universal free meal service option designed to make it easier for low-income children to receive meals in the National School Lunch and School Breakfast Progr...More >>
    Fayetteville, WV. - Students in Fayette County Schools will have the opportunity to eat breakfast and lunch at school at no cost. The county is participating in a program called the Community Eligibility Provision (CEP). The Community Eligibility Provision (CEP), enacted as a result of the Healthy, Hunger-Free Kids Act, is an innovative universal free meal service option designed to make it easier for low-income children to receive meals in the National School Lunch and School Breakfast Progr...More >>

WASHINGTON (AP) - Starting in about a decade, Kingston, Jamaica, will probably be off-the-charts hot - permanently. Other places will soon follow. Singapore in 2028. Mexico City in 2031. Cairo in 2036. Phoenix and Honolulu in 2043.

And eventually the whole world in 2047.

A new study on global warming pinpoints the probable dates for when cities and ecosystems around the world will regularly experience hotter environments the likes of which they have never seen before.

And for dozens of cities, mostly in the tropics, those dates are a generation or less away.

"This paper is both innovative and sobering," said Oregon State University professor Jane Lubchenco, former head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, who was not involved in the study.

To arrive at their projections, the researchers used weather observations, computer models and other data to calculate the point at which every year from then on will be warmer than the hottest year ever recorded over the last 150 years.

For example, the world as a whole had its hottest year on record in 2005. The new study, published Wednesday in the journal Nature, says that by the year 2047, every year that follows will probably be hotter than that record-setting scorcher.

Eventually, the coldest year in a particular city or region will be hotter than the hottest year in its past.

Study author Camilo Mora and his colleagues said they hope this new way of looking at climate change will spur governments to do something before it is too late.

"Now is the time to act," said another study co-author, Ryan Longman.

Mora, a biological geographer at the University of Hawaii, and colleagues ran simulations from 39 different computer models and looked at hundreds of thousands of species, maps and data points to ask when places will have "an environment like we had never seen before."

The 2047 date for the whole world is based on continually increasing emissions of greenhouse gases from the burning of coal, oil and natural gases. If the world manages to reduce its emissions of carbon dioxide and other gases, that would be pushed to as late as 2069, according to Mora.

But for now, Mora said, the world is rushing toward the 2047 date.

"One can think of this year as a kind of threshold into a hot new world from which one never goes back," said Carnegie Institution climate scientist Chris Field, who was not part of the study. "This is really dramatic."

Mora forecasts that the unprecedented heat starts in 2020 with Manokwa, Indonesia. Then Kingston, Jamaica. Within the next two decades, 59 cities will be living in what is essentially a new climate, including Singapore, Havana, Kuala Lumpur and Mexico City.

By 2043, 147 cities - more than half of those studied - will have shifted to a hotter temperature regime that is beyond historical records.

The first U.S. cities to feel that would be Honolulu and Phoenix, followed by San Diego and Orlando, Fla., in 2046. New York and Washington will get new climates around 2047, with Los Angeles, Detroit, Houston, Chicago, Seattle, Austin and Dallas a bit later.

Mora calculated that the last of the 265 cities to move into their new climate will be Anchorage, Alaska - in 2071. There's a five-year margin of error on the estimates.

Unlike previous research, the study highlights the tropics more than the polar regions. In the tropics, temperatures don't vary much, so a small increase can have large effects on ecosystems, he said. A 3-degree change is not much to polar regions but is dramatic in the tropics, which hold most of the Earth's biodiversity, he said.

The Mora team found that by one measurement - ocean acidity - Earth has already crossed the threshold into an entirely new regime. That happened in about 2008, with every year since then more acidic than the old record, according to study co-author Abby Frazier.

Of the species studied, coral reefs will be the first stuck in a new climate - around 2030 - and are most vulnerable to climate change, Mora said.

Judith Curry, a Georgia Institute of Technology climate scientist who often clashes with mainstream scientists, said she found Mora's approach to make more sense than the massive report that came out of the U.N.-sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change last month.

Pennsylvania State University climate scientist Michael Mann said the research "may actually be presenting an overly rosy scenario when it comes to how close we are to passing the threshold for dangerous climate impacts."

"By some measures, we are already there," he said.

  • NEWSMore>>

  • Miner dies in Buchanan County mine

    Miner dies in Buchanan County mine

    A coal miner has died in an accident in Buchanan County. It happened Wednesday afternoon at the CONSOL Buchanan Mine No.1. NBC affiliate WCYB reports that Virginia Department of Mines, Minerals and Energy spokesperson Tarah Kesterson confirmed that 41-year-old Michael Junior Justice was killed, possibly by electrocution. Justice was a maintenance supervisor and electrician. Justice was pronounced dead at Clinch Valley Medical Center at 12:30 p.m. The actual cause of death will be determi...More >>
    A coal miner has died in an accident in Buchanan County. It happened Wednesday afternoon at the CONSOL Buchanan Mine No.1. NBC affiliate WCYB reports that Virginia Department of Mines, Minerals and Energy spokesperson Tarah Kesterson confirmed that 41-year-old Michael Junior Justice was killed, possibly by electrocution. Justice was a maintenance supervisor and electrician. Justice was pronounced dead at Clinch Valley Medical Center at 12:30 p.m. The actual cause of death will be determi...More >>
  • Hearing held for man accused of sex crimes with adopted daughter

    Hearing held for man accused of sex crimes with adopted daughter

    Kenneth EnoxKenneth Enox
    GREENBRIER COUNTY (WVVA) The case against the man accused of sexually abusing his adopted daughter will head to the Grand Jury.The preliminary hearing for Kenneth Enox, of Renick...More >>
    GREENBRIER COUNTY (WVVA) The case against the man accused of sexually abusing his adopted daughter will head to the Grand Jury.The preliminary hearing for Kenneth Enox, of Renick...More >>
  • Five People arrested after reports of shots fired in Princeton

    Five People arrested after reports of shots fired in Princeton

    PRINCETON (WVVA) – Five males are arrested after officers receive reports of shots fired near Courthouse Road in Princeton late Wednesday night.  More >>
    PRINCETON (WVVA) – Five males are arrested after officers receive reports of shots fired near Courthouse Road in Princeton late Wednesday night.  More >>
  • Va. students improve, beat national average on ACT

    Va. students improve, beat national average on ACT

    RICHMOND, Va. (AP) -- Virginia students continue to improve and exceed the national average on the ACT college admissions exam. The Virginia Department of Education reports that Virginia students scored an average of 22.6 on the test this year. That tops last year's score of 22.4 and is well above the national average of 21. Virginia students improved and beat the national average in math, reading and science. Virginia's English score remained at 22 but also was above the national average. A...More >>
    RICHMOND, Va. (AP) -- Virginia students continue to improve and exceed the national average on the ACT college admissions exam. The Virginia Department of Education reports that Virginia students scored an average of 22.6 on the test this year. That tops last year's score of 22.4 and is well above the national average of 21. Virginia students improved and beat the national average in math, reading and science. Virginia's English score remained at 22 but also was above the national average. A...More >>
  • Capito, Tennant to compete in chamber Senate forum

    Capito, Tennant to compete in chamber Senate forum

    CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) -- Democrat Natalie Tennant and Republican Shelley Moore Capito will attend a U.S. Senate candidate forum next week.State Chamber of Commerce President Steve Roberts says they'll participate in the Aug. 28 event as part of the chamber's annual meeting at The Greenbrier in White Sulphur Springs.In the 2nd Congressional District, Democrat Nick Casey and Republican Alex Mooney will participate in a chamber forum Aug 29. The same day, Democrat Glen Gainer and Republican Con...More >>
    CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) -- Democrat Natalie Tennant and Republican Shelley Moore Capito will attend a U.S. Senate candidate forum next week.State Chamber of Commerce President Steve Roberts says they'll participate in the Aug. 28 event as part of the chamber's annual meeting at The Greenbrier in White Sulphur Springs.In the 2nd Congressional District, Democrat Nick Casey and Republican Alex Mooney will participate in a chamber forum Aug 29. The same day, Democrat Glen Gainer and Republican Con...More >>
  • New movie theater coming to Lewisburg

    New movie theater coming to Lewisburg

    LEWISBURG (WVVA) - Many people in the Greenbrier County area will have to travel to Beckley and beyond if they want to see the latest and biggest movies. But that's not for long.Construction has begun on the highly anticipated Cinema 8 Lewisburg."It will be 8 modern digital screens, digital surround, stadium seating and total capacity will be 1,000," said Wes Sheridan, one of the partners in the cinema.Mayor John Manchester says he hopes this proves to be a real asset to all the other wonderf...More >>
    LEWISBURG (WVVA) - Many people in the Greenbrier County area will have to travel to Beckley and beyond if they want to see the latest and biggest movies. But that's not for long.Construction has begun on the highly anticipated Cinema 8 Lewisburg."It will be 8 modern digital screens, digital surround, stadium seating and total capacity will be 1,000," said Wes Sheridan, one of the partners in the cinema.Mayor John Manchester says he hopes this proves to be a real asset to all the other wonderf...More >>
  • Murder suspect captured in Wisconsin

    Murder suspect captured in Wisconsin

    Desean FarleyDesean Farley
    BECKLEY (WVVA) A man suspected of murder is captured in Wisconsin. Desean Farley, 23, was arrested by U.S. Marshals Service...More >>
    BECKLEY (WVVA) A man suspected of murder is captured in Wisconsin. Desean Farley, 23, was arrested by U.S. Marshals Service...More >>
  • Ex-Virginia gov. testifies in his corruption trial

    Ex-Virginia gov. testifies in his corruption trial

    (AP Photo/Steve Helber). Former Virginia Gov.Bob McDonnell(AP Photo/Steve Helber). Former Virginia Gov.Bob McDonnell
    Former Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell has taken the stand in his public corruption trial.McDonnell began his much-anticipated testimony in his own defense Wednesday. The onetime rising national Republican star and his wife, Maureen, are charged in a 14-count indictment.More >>
    Former Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell has taken the stand in his public corruption trial.McDonnell began his much-anticipated testimony in his own defense Wednesday. The onetime rising national Republican star and his wife, Maureen, are charged in a 14-count indictment.More >>
Powered by WorldNow
All content © Copyright 2000 - 2014 WorldNow and WVVA.
All Rights Reserved. For more information on this site, please read our Privacy Policy, Terms of Service and Mobile Privacy Policy & Terms of Service.

Persons with disabilities who need assistance with issues relating to the content of this station's public inspection file should contact Administrative Assistant Audrey Sluss at (304) 324-0659. Questions or concerns relating to the accessibility of the FCC's online public file system should be directed to the FCC at 888-225-5322, at 888-835-5322 (TTY) or at fccinfo@fcc.gov.